Brent crude surged 8% in a single session to above $83 a barrel amid the Iran-Israel-US conflict, marking the sharpest one-day jump in four years. Oil spikes have historically weakened the rupee and raised macro risks for India. Analysts estimate that every $10 rise in crude could widen the current account deficit, push up inflation and slow growth. With nearly 90% of crude imported and 40% routed through the Strait of Hormuz, a prolonged conflict could add pressure on the rupee, inflation and the RBI’s policy outlook.
