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Former diplomat Ashok Sajjanhar flags concerns over US ‘monitoring’ clause on Russian oil

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Former diplomat Ashok Sajjanhar has raised concerns over the provision in the India–US interim trade framework that links tariff relief to India curbing purchases of Russian oil, saying it could have diplomatic and domestic implications for India.

His remarks come after the White House issued an executive order removing an additional 25% tariff on Indian goods, citing India’s commitment to stop direct or indirect imports of Russian crude. Separately, both governments announced a framework for an interim trade agreement under which US duties on Indian goods are expected to fall to 185 after the pact is formally signed, likely by mid-March.

Concerns over US “monitoring” clause

Sajjanhar said the clause that allows the United States to “monitor” India’s compliance is significant, as it keeps open the possibility of renewed tariff action in the future. He suggested that such language could be seen in India as an external oversight mechanism rather than a purely bilateral understanding.

He noted that this could complicate India’s energy diplomacy, particularly its engagement with Russia, even as New Delhi has already reduced its dependence on Russian crude over the past year.

Domestic political context

The former diplomat observed that the provision may also have domestic political ramifications, with opposition parties likely to frame it as a challenge to India’s strategic autonomy. He said this could make it harder for the government to build consensus around the trade deal at home.

Broader India–US ties

Placing the issue in a wider context, Sajjanhar said that India–US relations had experienced several points of friction in recent months, including differences over regional geopolitics and trade.

While he acknowledged that defence cooperation and other aspects of the partnership were continuing to move forward, he suggested that the Russian oil clause could slow efforts to rebuild trust following the earlier tariff dispute.

Sajjanhar pointed out that there are no UN sanctions on Russian oil and that India has adhered to the G7 price cap mechanism. He also noted that several countries — including China, parts of the European Union, and the United States itself — continue to import Russian energy without facing similar conditionalities.

Trade deal context

Under the interim trade framework, the US will reduce tariffs on Indian goods to 18% after the agreement is formally signed. In return, India has agreed to lower duties on a range of US industrial and agricultural products and address non-tariff barriers in sectors such as medical devices and information and communication technology.

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